US Dollar Weakens, Bitcoin Gains Spotlight as Reserve Currency Debate Intensifies

13.04.2025 29 times read 0 Comments

‘Confidence Crisis’—U.S. Dollar Collapse Predicted to Boost Bitcoin

According to Forbes, the U.S. dollar is facing a significant "confidence crisis," with the ICE U.S. Dollar Index dropping below the 100 level, marking its worst performance since 2022. Analysts from ING have described the situation as a "barometer of 'sell America,'" as global trade tensions escalate under the leadership of former President Donald Trump. The dollar's decline has sparked discussions about its role as the world's reserve currency, with Deutsche Bank's George Saravelos noting a rapid process of de-dollarization.

Amid this turmoil, Bitcoin is being positioned as a potential alternative to gold, with Grayscale suggesting that disruptions to the dollar-centric financial system could lead to increased reserve diversification into Bitcoin. The cryptocurrency market has seen volatility, but Bitcoin's price remains resilient, with experts predicting it could challenge gold's $22 trillion market capitalization in the long term.

“What we are going through now is worse than when former President Nixon took us off the gold standard in August 1971,” said Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex.

Key Takeaways:

  • The U.S. dollar index has dropped below 100, its lowest in years.
  • Bitcoin is being considered as a hedge against the dollar's decline.
  • Experts predict a potential shift in global reserve strategies.

BlackRock's Crypto Holdings Drop by $5 Billion Amid Market Decline

Decrypt reports that BlackRock, the world's largest asset manager, saw its crypto asset holdings decrease by $5 billion in Q1 2025, bringing the total to $50.3 billion. This represents a 9% decline, attributed to falling Bitcoin and Ethereum prices, which dropped 12% and 45%, respectively, during the quarter. Despite this, BlackRock's crypto-focused ETFs, including the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF and iShares Ethereum Trust ETF, generated $3.1 billion in net inflows, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of positive inflows.

BlackRock remains a leader in the crypto ETF space, with its Bitcoin ETF holding $45 billion in assets under management (AUM), nearly three times that of Grayscale's Bitcoin Trust ETF. However, the risk-off environment has dampened investor appetite for crypto products, with BlackRock's crypto ETFs averaging $7.5 billion in quarterly inflows over the past year.

Key Takeaways:

  • BlackRock's crypto holdings fell by $5 billion in Q1 2025.
  • Bitcoin and Ethereum prices experienced significant declines.
  • Despite market challenges, BlackRock's crypto ETFs continue to attract inflows.

Bitcoin Rallies as Fed Signals Market Stabilization

FXStreet highlights a recovery in the crypto market following comments from Boston Fed President Susan Collins, who indicated the agency's readiness to stabilize markets if liquidity concerns arise. Bitcoin surged 5% to reclaim the $83,000 mark, reversing earlier losses. Ethereum, XRP, and Solana also posted gains of 3%, 2.5%, and 8%, respectively.

Collins emphasized that the Federal Reserve has various tools beyond interest rate adjustments to address market challenges. The Producer Price Index (PPI) also showed a 0.4% month-on-month decline, the largest drop since October 2023, further boosting market sentiment. Analysts suggest that the Fed's potential intervention could mirror its actions during the 2020 market turmoil, which significantly benefited Bitcoin.

Key Takeaways:

  • Bitcoin rose 5% to $83,000 following Fed comments.
  • Other major cryptocurrencies, including Ethereum and Solana, also saw gains.
  • The PPI's decline signals easing inflationary pressures.

U.S. Inflation Cools, Crypto Prices Stabilize

The Block reports that U.S. inflation cooled in March, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rising 2.4% year-over-year, down from 2.8% in February. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, increased by just 0.1% month-over-month, marking the smallest annual growth in four years. Despite the positive inflation data, Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies remained stable, with minimal market movement.

Analysts suggest that ongoing trade negotiations and tariff policies will play a more significant role in shaping market dynamics. President Trump's recent 90-day tariff pause and reduced blanket tariffs to 10% have introduced some optimism, but uncertainties remain, particularly regarding U.S.-China trade relations.

Key Takeaways:

  • March CPI rose 2.4%, signaling cooling inflation.
  • Core CPI growth was the smallest in four years.
  • Crypto prices remained stable despite the inflation data.

Sources:

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